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Real Madrid -- 11 games, 24 points, +10 GD
3.

Real Madrid -- 10 games, 25 points, +20 GD
2.

Atletico Madrid -- 9 games, 22 points, +10 GD
T19.



Real Madrid -- 7 games, 11 points, +4 GD

Add all that up, and you've got Barcelona tied with Real Madrid and one point ahead of Atletico Madrid with a game in hand.

Barca have been the best team in the league by far for about two-thirds of the season to date, but they were so shaky from November to January that they gave away any and all gains.

They're on a 17-match unbeaten streak in all competitions, and they responded to a frustrating 4-4 Copa del Rey draw with Atletico Madrid by outscoring Real Sociedad (in league play) and Benfica (in two Champions League matches) by a combined 8-1 over three matches.

Barca are in form, Atletico (three wins in eight matches in all comps) are shaky, and Real Madrid keep bouncing back and forth between mediocre (two wins in six league matches) and brilliant (19 goals in a six-match Champions League winning streak).

Oh yeah, and Atleti and Real Madrid are absolutely exhausted after Wednesday's Champions League thriller.

(Adjusted goal differential, as seen in the chart above, is a mix of 70% xG differential and 30% goal differential. It is a more predictive measure of quality than pure goal differential or points per game.)

Opta currently gives Barca a 61% chance of winning the title, with Real Madrid at 27% and Atleti at 12%.