Liverpool Land in Unexpected Position in Champions League Forecast

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When will Arne Slot host his first Premier League press conference?

The Champions League returns on September 16, and fresh predictions have left Liverpool fans stunned by what the numbers say this season.

European nights are set to return, with the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League promising another campaign of high drama.

The new format, which came into effect last year, continues unchanged: 36 clubs in one massive league stage, each side playing eight matches.

After the turbulence of recent years, Liverpool returns to the continent with a fresh identity, plenty of momentum, and a burning desire to reclaim their place at the summit of Europe.

Liverpool open their Champions League campaign with a group stage clash against Atlético Madrid on September 18 at 12:30 AM IST.

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Yet, beyond the anticipation on the pitch, it’s the numbers off it that have set tongues wagging.

Opta’s supercomputer, after running 10,000 simulations of the new season, delivered results that placed Liverpool in a spotlight few expected.

The Reds, fresh off their domestic triumph, are predicted to hold a 20.4% chance of winning the Champions League — a figure that puts them ahead of Europe’s giants.

Barcelona and Manchester City each sit at 8.4%, while Chelsea (7%), Real Madrid (5.8%), and Bayern Munich (4.3%) form the chasing pack.

For Liverpool, the numbers are more than just statistics.

With six titles already in the cabinet and a squad hungry for continental success under new leadership, Anfield once again carries the weight of expectation — and this time, the numbers suggest it may be justified.

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