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What Liverpool really need to win Premier League title as worst case scenario clear

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They were also dismal in their League Cup final defeat to Newcastle United, struggled across two legs in their Champions League round-of-16 exit to Paris Saint-Germain before the international break, and relied on two penalties to beat now relegated Southampton at Anfield last month.

Supporters will perhaps also be scarred by the club’s final season under Jurgen Klopp last year, where they were top of the table in early-April but fell away during their final eight matches to ultimately finish third - nine points behind champions Man City.

Starting their final eight games of this season with a surprise defeat was hardly the way to offer reassurance that this year, things will be different.



However, despite their latest setback, history is on Liverpool’s side to get the job done.



Needing 11 points from these final eight matches, they have only failed to return such a total three times during their run-in in the Premier League’s entire 33-year history.

And on each occasion, it came at the end of a woeful season for the Reds rather than one where they collapsed on the final straight.

Two of these times came as Liverpool recorded their joint-worst Premier League finish as they came eighth in both 1993/94 and 2011/12.

In the former, Graeme Souness had already been sacked prior to their poor end to the season as the Reds picked up just seven points from their final eight matches (won two, drew one, lost five) under Roy Evans.

Meanwhile, in 2011/12 under Sir Kenny Dalglish, Liverpool prioritised their run to the FA Cup final as their league form suffered as a result.

They would pick up 10 points from their final eight matches (won three, drew one, lost four), before the legendary Scot lost his job at the end of the season.

The Reds endured a worse finish to their 2014/15 campaign under Brendan Rodgers as they picked up just eight points from their final eight matches (won two, drew two, lost four).

History is still reassuringly on Liverpool’s side.

Klopp’s side picked up 12 points from their final eight games last season (won three, drew three, lost two) as their Premier League title challenge fell apart before their eyes.

The Reds were also challenging for the title in 1996/97 under Evans, only to end up finishing fourth.

While they finished seven points behind champions Manchester United after picking up 11 points from their final eight games (won three, drew two, lost three), they missed out on Champions League qualification on goal difference alone.

Liverpool were also in a position of strength ahead of the run-in when challenging for Champions League qualification under Gerard Houllier in 1999/00.

But they would again pick up 11 points from their final eight games (won three, drew two, lost three) as a shock final day defeat to Bradford City saw them miss out on Europe’s elite competition by just two points.

This is arguably their worst collapse as they failed to win any of their final five matches, having been second in the table ahead of such a run of results.

But replicating the Reds’ disappointing returns in such run-ins this season would still be enough for Liverpool to be crowned champions this year.

And that, of course, is not taking into account Arsenal's own run-in, with the Gunners only managing to win two of their last six games and facing a trip to Anfield in May.
For more news relating to Arsenal, visit our sister site AFC Latest Live.

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