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Who will win the golden boot in the Premier League?

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By Ryan Benson for Opta Analyst

Erling Haaland (Manchester City), 21 goals

Haaland ran away with the Premier League golden boot last season, scoring 36 goals in his first campaign in England.



He is unlikely to challenge his record for scoring the most goals in a single Premier League campaign, but 21 makes him the frontrunner against this season and would be considered an unequivocal success for any other striker in the league.



City have four games left to play – against Wolves, Fulham, Tottenham and West Ham – so he could still plunder a few more goals after shaking off the muscle issue that troubled him before returning for City (and scoring) – against Nottingham Forest at the weekend.



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Haaland has taken the second most shots in the league this season (104), behind only Darwin Núñez (105).

While his record of 0.69 goals per game (excluding penalties) has not quite matched his non-penalty expected goals of 0.82 per 90 minutes, he will be confident of scoring a few more goals in the final weeks of the season.

Furthermore, his record from penalties – nine from nine, meaning he is in line to record the best 100% spot-kick record in a single Premier League season – has helped an otherwise inconsistent Chelsea team.

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Nine players in the league have taken more shots than Palmer but just two of them can better his proportion of shots on target (46.4%).

The England forward has hit a new peak under Unai Emery and has been one of the league’s standout players – and the most improved.

With 31 goal involvements, he is the first English player not called Harry Kane to record 30-plus in a Premier League season since Jamie Vardy helped Leicester win the title in 2015-16 (when he contributed 24 goals and six assists).

Liverpool have taken 715 shots this season, by far the most in the league and nearly 100 more than Manchester City (621), who are second on that list.

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Salah has been more lethal than his teammates – the agent of chaos that is Núñez has scored 11 goals from his 105 shots, compared to Salah’s 17 from 100.
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