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UEFA forecasts suggest the Champions League’s new format, including a 36-team league phase, will see an extra £372million ($477m) in prize money will be distributed every season from the start of the 2024-25 campaign.

Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool are already assured of qualification for next season and Aston Villa could join them this weekend.

The restless elite were pacified with more Champions League games (eight minimum) and the promise of a higher yield.

UEFA estimates that total revenue across its four competitions (Champions League, Europa League, Europa Conference League and Super Cup) will climb from €3.5billion (£3bn; $3.78bn) this season to €4.4bn next, and see the money distributed to participating clubs rise by almost €600m.

A position will be decided by where a club is based and how much that country contributed to media revenues (formerly the market pool calculation), as well as where the club is ranked in UEFA’s coefficient.

There will be a European part and non-European part splitting revenues from the two markets, but topping both ranking tables will likely bring in around €45m.

Manchester City and Liverpool will be close to the top of those distribution metrics, owing to their European performances in recent seasons, but Aston Villa, like Newcastle this season, can expect a more modest windfall.

Villa are currently ranked 81st in the UEFA coefficient but can improve that by overcoming their first-leg semi-final defeat to Olympiacos and making it to the Europa Conference League final.

“The Premier League is still likely to win in that argument because of their strength in the market pool.

“If you were to win everything in the revamped format — taking into account all your league fixtures, being top of market pools and going all the way — I’ve got the numbers around the €161million mark based on UEFA’s guidance.

“The baseline, ballpark sum for an English club is minimum £50m, the sum we’ve usually attached to Champions League qualification, but there will be scope for more next season.

It’s going to be more lucrative because of changes to the distribution and the English clubs will continue to win because of their position in the market pool.”

The last official UEFA numbers on record come from the 2022-23 season, when Manchester City’s first Champions League title returned them just under €135m.

Any English club, theoretically ranked in the top half of UEFA’s value pillar, will earn at least €70m if they were to progress automatically to the last 16 next season.

And all for playing eight matches.

Manchester City earned €135m from last season’s Champions League (Michael Steele/Getty Images)Is there more to be made and how does it tally with FFP rules?

The bulk of revenue associated with Champions League qualification will come from UEFA but clubs can expect to make more than just the central distributions.
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