Exclusive: Liverpool's £80m stick-or-twist explained as FSG's Arne Slot stance emerges

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Liverpool are struggling under Arne Slot and we have taken a look at the potential financial implications of FSG sticking with the Dutchman.The Reds were beaten 3-0 by Crystal Palace on Wednesday evening, their sixth defeat in their last seven matches.TBR Football understands that Liverpool’s hierarchy and the dressing room remain fully behind Slot despite a torrid run of form.How long that stance stays the same remains to be seen, but even with a poor season under the 47-year-old, the Merseyside outfit are expected to be fine from a financial perspective.Photo by Michael Regan – UEFA/UEFA via Getty ImagesLiverpool have lost their last four Premier League matches, dropping down to seventh in the Premier League table.While still early days, there is a chance that if the Reds stick with Slot and results don’t improve, they could miss out on a place in next season’s Champions League.TBR Football‘s finance expert, Adam Williams, has now shed some light on how that will impact the Fenway Sports Group-backed club.He said: “A club like Liverpool is looking at at least £45m per season in the Champions League before a ball is kicked. You get a flat participation fee of around £16.5m, and you get a payout from UEFA’s value pillar on top of that.

I’ve got to give credit to Swiss Ramble, the football finance analyst, for the calculations here.“The value pillar is based on a few different elements, including the value of the UK’s TV rights deal for UEFA competitions, as well as Liverpool’s five and 10-year coefficients.“On top of that, you’re getting at least four home matches. In reality, it’s probably at least five, because it’s very unlikely that Liverpool don’t finish in the top two-thirds of the table.

It’s complex, but I think with matchday, prize money and performance, Liverpool are looking at £80m per season as an absolute worst-case scenario.“If you have a really strong season in Europe, you can be looking as high as £150m. It’s a prolonged absence from the Champions League that really hits you, but FSG don’t do reactionary decisions.