Liverpool discovers exact chances of UCL qualification after latest twists and turns
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Liverpool FC NewsFeaturesLiverpool FCLiverpool is closing in on Champions League qualification for next season, although for that not to be a guarantee with two games remaining goes to show just how disappointing this campaign has been for LiverpoolArne Slot is close to securing Champions League qualification for Liverpool(Image: 2026 Robbie Jay Barratt - AMA)Liverpool is a virtual shoo-in for Champions League qualification, despite Saturday's 1-1 draw with Chelsea at Anfield.Chelsea went into the game off the back of six successive losses in the Premier League, but Enzo Fernandez's first-half free-kick earned the visiting side a point after Ryan Gravenberch's early opener.Liverpool's loss to Manchester United during the previous weekend coupled with the draw with Chelsea, have allowed the in-form Bournemouth to cut Liverpool's cushion inside the top five to just four points.Bournemouth has collected 13 points from the last five games to move onto 55 points – four shy of fourth-placed Liverpool and fifth-placed Villa, both of which are on 59 points.READ MORE: Liverpool announces permanent Diogo Jota memorial with classy touch addedREAD MORE: Latest Liverpool injury news and return dates including Konate, Salah, Wirtz, AlissonHowever, considering there are just two games in the season remaining, Champions League qualification for Bournemouth would still be a long shot – particularly considering one of those games is against Manchester City.Liverpool's final two games of the season are away to Aston Villa and at home to Brentford, and the Reds will guaranteed a top-five finish with a win in either of those matches, irrespective of what happens elsewhere.For those reasons, Opta Analyst gives Liverpool a 96.71 per cent chance of securing Champions League qualification, while Aston Villa is also given a strong 87.27 per cent chance of qualifying for the Champions League.Villa's marginally lower probability is influenced by its final two opponents in the run-in: Liverpool and Manchester City.Bournemouth, which goes to Nottingham Forest on the final day of the season after hosting City this weekend, is given a 10.93 per cent chance of qualifying for the Champions League.Unai Emery's Aston Villa side is also bidding for a top-five finish(Image: Robbie Jay Barratt/Getty Images)It is also still technically possible for Brighton to finish inside the top five, but Fabian Hurzeler's side is currently six points off both Villa and Liverpool.In order for Brighton to finish inside the top five, it would have to: win both of its remaining league games, overtake Bournemouth in the final standings, and hope that either Liverpool or Villa loses both of their final league games – while also finishing with a better superior goal difference.Brighton's last two games come away to Leeds and at home to Manchester United. The Seagulls are given a 5.09 per cent chance of qualifying for the Champions League by Opta Analyst.At the other end of the table, West Ham is the clear favorite to join Wolves and Burnley in the Championship next season.The probability of West Ham suffering relegation is 86.65 per cent, while Tottenham has a 13.35 per cent chance of going down after collecting seven points from the last three games.Choose Liverpool.com as a 'Preferred Source' on Google News for quick access to the news you value.Liverpool FC