Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction, Odds & Tips Ahead of Premier League Clash

Liverpool host struggling Burnley at Anfield on Saturday, January 17, 2026, in a Premier League mismatch where the Reds are overwhelming favorites.[1][2][3]

Match Details & Odds

The game kicks off at 10 a.m. ET, broadcast on Peacock, USA Network, and Universo. Liverpool (10-5-6, 35 points) face Burnley (3-4-14, 13 points), with the hosts sitting mid-table and the visitors battling relegation.[1][3][4] Bookmakers list Liverpool as heavy favorites: moneyline odds range from -145 to -500 (81-83% win probability), Burnley at +1075-+1300 (8-9% chance), and draw at +185-+650 (15%). Over/under is set at 2.5-3 goals.[1][2][3][4]

Team Form & Stats

Liverpool rank 9th in xG (31.9) with a +4 goal difference (32 scored, 28 conceded), 7 clean sheets (33.3%), and 1.67 points per game. They've won the last 6 head-to-heads against Burnley, 5 with clean sheets, conceding just 1 goal total. Unbeaten in 11 across competitions, they average 61% possession and could welcome back Mohamed Salah post-AFCON. No new injuries reported.[1][2][3][6]

Burnley rank 18th, with 22 goals scored, 41 conceded (-19 differential), 14.3% clean sheet rate, and only 4 away points. They've allowed the league-worst 41 xG and average 0.6 points per game.[1][3][5]

Predictions & Betting Tips

• Score predictions: Liverpool 2-0[2][6], 3-0[4], or 1-0 (+650 odds)[3].
• Moneyline: Liverpool -442[4]. Total: Over 2.5 (-181)[3][4].
• BTTS-No (-147), as Liverpool dominate H2H[3][6].
• Other tips: Hugo Ekitike to score first (3.30 odds)[5]; 2nd half most goals (2.05)[5]; Liverpool over 6.5 corners[6].

Experts foresee a comfortable Liverpool win, though recent scoring struggles may keep it narrow. Burnley's counter-threat exists, but Anfield history favors the hosts.[1][2][3][4][5][6]

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