Opta supercomputer predicts Liverpool Champions League chances with surprising verdict
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Liverpool IconLiverpool FC NewsFeaturesLiverpool FCLiverpool dropped more points this weekend in the race for the Champions League race, but Chelsea and Aston Villa both lost, so Arne Slot's men gained on both of themLiverpool head coach Arne Slot.(Image: Gaspafotos/MB Media/Getty Images)Liverpool is on track to finish inside the Champions League places this season, at least according to Opta's numbers — with the Reds predicted to finish ahead of Chelsea.With eight games left, the Reds are fifth in the standings. They still have to play Chelsea, Manchester United and Aston Villa in the run-in, with those clashes — two of which are away from home — potentially set to be decisive.At the moment, Opta's supercomputer has Liverpool down to finish on 62 points, which would mean the Reds picking up 13 from a possible 24 to conclude the campaign.
Manchester United, without any other games outside of the Premier League, has a major advantage in terms of the schedule.Slot was asked about his side's chances of reaching the Champions League after Richarlison earned Tottenham a point at Anfield this weekend."Of course it's damaging," he said. We don't help ourselves at all."It's so many times this season that we've created much more xG or chances than the amount of goals we score.
Usually in the Premier League you see a lot of teams outperforming their xG, but that definitely is [not] what we are doing throughout the whole season.Get LFC's 2025/26 season home and away kitsThis article contains affiliate links, we will receive a commission on any sales we generate from it. That's a bad combination for picking up the amount of points we want to pick up."Liverpool.com says: It is definitely possible that the Reds will make the Champions League places, but there is a question mark about whether that is enough to convince lots of people about the future.Slot's side needs to play better and show some proper signs that it is heading in the right direction, rather than limping over the line.