Supercomputer predicts each Premier League club’s Champions League fate after first leg results
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Credit: Imago Supercomputer predicts each Premier League club’s Champions League fate after first leg results Thu 12 March 2026 9:25, UK Liverpool are among the six Premier League clubs needing to win in the second leg of their Champions League last 16 ties to progress next week.The Reds were beaten 1-0 by Galatasaray on Tuesday, kicking off what was ultimately a woeful week of European action for the best clubs England has to offer.Mario Lemina scored the only goal against Liverpool, who looked to have equalised through Ibrahima Konate before the goal was disallowed for handball.It is the second time this season that Arne Slot’s have been beaten 1-0 at Rams Park, with Victor Osimhen making the difference when the sides met in September. Liverpool’s form has been incredibly inconsistent of late, but they will be confident that the deficit can be overturned at Anfield next week. ⚽ Liverpool Matchday ⚽ Team news, line-ups, expert previews, VAR verdicts, and tactical analysis for every Reds fixture.
Liverpool’s chances of progression hang in the balance, however, with Opta‘s supercomputer handing them just a 51.36 per cent chance of making it to the quarter-finals.For Chelsea and Tottenham, who both lost 5-2 to PSG and Atletico Madrid, respectively, success next week would be better described as a miracle. Chelsea had been competitive against the European champions, but crumbled late on and have just a 7.04 per cent chance of progressing, according to the supercomputer.Tottenham’s odds are even lower after they went 4-0 down inside 25 minutes at the Wanda Metropolitano on Tuesday.
Just a 3.32 per cent chance offers the next round.Manchester City were smashed 3-0 by Real Madrid and have been given 17.05 per cent, Newcastle United drew 1-1 late on with Barcelona at St James Park and have been handed 31.85 per cent.Premier League leaders were far from impressive in their 1-1 draw at Bayer Leverkusen, but the supercomputer has given them a 78.07 per cent chance of progressing at the Emirates Stadium next week.European dominance stands out elsewhereThe Premier League was billed as Europe’s strongest league after the likes of Tottenham made it through to the knockout stages despite their struggles at home. Norwegian side Bodo/Glimt continued their Champions League fairy tale by beating Sporting CP 3-0, giving themselves an 86.73 per cent chance of a place in the quarter-final.Bayern Munich were the pick of the week, however, with the German champions set to host Atalanta next week with a 99.96 per cent chance of going through after beating the Italians 6-1. 🔴 Don’t Miss a Beat: Your Liverpool Insider Access Get the full story from Anfield and the AXA Training Centre with our dedicated expert hubs: Updated 24/7 with expert analysis from the heart of Merseyside.