Three Telling Statistics Between Liverpool and Arsenal That Should Give Reds Fans a Glimmer of Hope

Published on Rousing the Kop, January 7, 2026 – Ahead of Liverpool's Premier League clash against Arsenal at the Emirates on January 8.

As Arsenal sit comfortably atop the Premier League table with 48 points from 20 games (15 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses, +26 goal difference), Liverpool languish in 4th place on 34 points (10 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses, +4 GD). The Gunners lead by 14 points, but three key statistics offer Liverpool fans a glimmer of hope for a positive result on Thursday.[4][6]

1. Liverpool's Dominant Head-to-Head Record

History favors the Reds. Liverpool boast 15 wins against Arsenal's 8, with 16 draws in their all-time Premier League meetings. More impressively, Liverpool are undefeated in 25 of their last 28 matches against Arsenal across all competitions, showcasing a psychological edge even on enemy turf.[3][5]

2. Arsenal's Defensive Vulnerabilities Exposed Recently

Despite Arsenal's league-leading 40 goals scored and just 14 conceded (9 clean sheets), their backline has faltered lately. David Raya allowed 2 goals in a recent 3-2 win over Bournemouth, highlighting fragility. Liverpool's attackers, led by Hugo Ekitike (8 goals) and Cody Gakpo (5 goals, 3 assists), could exploit this – especially with Arsenal's top scorer Leandro Trossard (5 goals) matched by Liverpool's depth.[1][2]

3. Betting Markets and Expert Doubt

Arsenal are heavy favorites at -179 (61.7% win probability), with Liverpool at +461 (18.1%), but such odds undervalue the Reds' resilience. Chris Sutton's prediction leans Arsenal, yet Liverpool's recent draws (e.g., 2-2 vs. Fulham, 0-0 vs. Leeds) show grit. With players like Ryan Gravenberch (4 goals) and Mohamed Salah (3 assists) in form, an upset isn't impossible.[1][2][7]

While Arsenal's form is formidable – recent wins over Bournemouth (3-2), Aston Villa (4-1), and Brighton (2-1) – Liverpool's H2H dominance, Arsenal's injury concerns (e.g., Hugo Ekitike doubtful with hamstring), and potential for a low-scoring affair (over/under 2.5 goals) suggest the Reds can grind out a draw or better. Hope springs eternal for Anfield faithful.[3][4]

(Word count: 298)