Why we can expect goals from Arsenal vs. Liverpool despite Reds’ form

Why we can expect goals from Arsenal vs. Liverpool despite Reds’ form

This statistical preview argues that recent Liverpool form should not fool anyone into expecting a low‑scoring game at Arsenal. Instead, historical trends, current strengths and weaknesses, and key player profiles all point toward a match with goals at both ends.

The article highlights that this fixture has been consistently open and attacking. Arsenal have conceded in each of their last 20 league meetings with Liverpool, a run stretching back over a decade, while the Reds have often found Emirates Stadium conducive to chances. Across the Premier League era, Liverpool’s visits to Arsenal have produced frequent goals for both sides, with draws and narrow wins common, underlining how rarely either defence fully controls this game.[7]

Despite Liverpool’s more modest attacking output and patchy away form this season, their underlying numbers and historic record against Arsenal remain strong. They have avoided defeat in the vast majority of recent head‑to‑head clashes and typically create enough chances to score, even when performances are below peak levels.[5][7] Arsenal, meanwhile, come into the match on an excellent home run, regularly scoring multiple times and exerting heavy pressure in the final third.[1][2]

Set pieces are flagged as a major factor. Arsenal are one of the league’s most dangerous sides from dead‑ball situations, leading the division in both goals and expected goals from set plays.[1][2] Liverpool, by contrast, are relatively weak in attacking set pieces this season and have been vulnerable at times when defending them, making corners and free‑kicks a likely source of chances for the hosts.

Finally, the preview points to individual attacking threats on both teams, with forwards and wide players who have strong records in this fixture and excel in transitional, high‑tempo games. Taken together – long‑term defensive frailties in this matchup, Arsenal’s aggressive home form, Liverpool’s habit of finding a goal, and the hosts’ set‑piece prowess – the numbers strongly support the expectation of a goal‑rich encounter, regardless of Liverpool’s recent dip.[1][2][5][7]